Sao Paulo 0-0 Sport Recife — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 30 Mar 2025

Sao Paulo
0-0 HT 0-0
Sport Recife
📅30/03/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Sao Paulo vs Sport Recife Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.36
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
18%
5.43
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.38
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
16.25
X/1
17%
3.96
X/2
10%
9.33
X/X
13%
4.05
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
12%
8.62
2/X
7%
18.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+7.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.4pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sao Paulo v Sport Recife — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Paulo EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sport Recife EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.38/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.59
+2% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -10%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
420 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 78%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
21.9 Crosses 19.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Sao Paulo vs Sport Recife Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Paulo
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Sport Recife
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.31 xG 0.81
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
440 Passes 308
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.06.2023 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 1-3 HT 1-1 Sport Recife Sport Recife BRK
18.05.2023 Sport Recife Sport Recife 0-2 HT 0-0 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BRK
28.11.2021 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 2-0 HT 0-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR1
23.08.2021 Sport Recife Sport Recife 0-1 HT 0-1 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1
06.12.2020 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 1-0 HT 1-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR1
24.08.2020 Sport Recife Sport Recife 0-1 HT 0-1 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BR1

Sao Paulo 0-0 Sport Recife — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sao Paulo
0-0
AWAY Sport Recife
2.36 xG 0.37
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
461 Passes 237
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 5
20 Crosses 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sao Paulo vs Sport Recife
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sao Paulo and Sport Recife fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Sao Paulo at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sao Paulo had 64% of the ball to Sport Recife's 36%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 2.36 to 0.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sao Paulo had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sao Paulo and 0.50 for Sport Recife.

What was the final score of Sao Paulo vs Sport Recife?

Sao Paulo 0-0 Sport Recife in the Brazil - Serie A on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Paulo vs Sport Recife?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Paulo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sao Paulo 47%, draw 26%, Sport Recife 26%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sao Paulo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sao Paulo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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