Juventude 2-0 Vitoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.66
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
18%
4.65
6+ Goals
8%
24.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.21
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
10%
4.91
X/2
11%
6.78
X/X
13%
3.99
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
12%
5.3
2/X
6%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.2pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.2pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.4pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventude EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitoria EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.05/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.25
-17% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -2%
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
287 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 82%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
23.3 Crosses 18.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventude
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Vitoria
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.85 xG 0.86
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
384 Passes 324
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.09.2024 Vitoria Vitoria 1-0 HT 1-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
12.06.2024 Juventude Juventude 1-1 HT 1-1 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
30.10.2023 Vitoria Vitoria 0-0 HT 0-0 Juventude Juventude BR2
02.07.2023 Juventude Juventude 1-0 HT 0-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR2
16.12.2020 Vitoria Vitoria 1-0 HT 1-0 Juventude Juventude BR2
15.09.2020 Juventude Juventude 1-1 HT 1-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventude
2-0
AWAY Vitoria
0.76 xG 0.59
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
234 Passes 454
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Juventude vs Vitoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventude got the better of Vitoria 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Juventude as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Juventude had 36% of the ball to Vitoria's 64%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.76 to 0.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitoria led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Juventude and 0.67 for Vitoria.

What was the final score of Juventude vs Vitoria?

Juventude 2-0 Vitoria in the Brazil - Serie A on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventude vs Vitoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventude win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Juventude 42%, draw 25%, Vitoria 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventude), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Juventude) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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