Fluminense vs Fortaleza Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fluminense v Fortaleza — Team-Based Signals
Fluminense vs Fortaleza Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Fortaleza
BR1
4-2
HT 2-1
Fluminense
BR1
2-1
HT 1-0
Fortaleza
BR1
2-2
HT 0-2
Fortaleza
BRK
0-1
HT 0-1
Fluminense
BRK
Fluminense 2-2 Fortaleza — Actual Match Statistics
Fluminense and Fortaleza shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.
Our pre-match lean was Fluminense at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Fluminense had 74% of the ball to Fortaleza's 26%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.95 to 1.18.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fluminense had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fluminense and 1.33 for Fortaleza.
What was the final score of Fluminense vs Fortaleza?
Fluminense 2-2 Fortaleza in the Brazil - Serie A on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Fortaleza?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Fluminense 45%, draw 29%, Fortaleza 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.