Athletic Club 1-1 Criciuma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 19 Aug 2025

Athletic Club
1-1 HT 0-1
Criciuma
📅19/08/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2025

Athletic Club vs Criciuma Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
24%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.45
Over 2.5
33%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
15%
5.54
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.9pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.0pp
24%
Away Win
28%
-3.8pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.8pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.8pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Athletic Club v Criciuma — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Club EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Criciuma EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.13/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.47
+19% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
318 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
19.4 Crosses 16.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8

Athletic Club vs Criciuma Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Club
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Criciuma
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.02 xG 1.56
37% Ball Possession 63%
1 Total Shots 26
1 Shots on Target 9
0 Corners 5
208 Passes 382
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
3 Box Touches 30
4 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
18.04.2025 Criciuma Criciuma 4-0 HT 3-0 Athletic Club BR2

Athletic Club 1-1 Criciuma — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Club
1-1
AWAY Criciuma
3.03 xG 1.56
75% Ball Possession 25%
21 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
476 Passes 127
86% Pass Accuracy 64%
36 Box Touches 11
59 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Athletic Club vs Criciuma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Club and Criciuma shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Athletic Club at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Athletic Club had 75% of the ball to Criciuma's 25%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 3.03 to 1.56.

What was the final score of Athletic Club vs Criciuma?

Athletic Club 1-1 Criciuma in the Brazil - Serie B on 19/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Club vs Criciuma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Club win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Athletic Club 42%, draw 33%, Criciuma 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Athletic Club), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Athletic Club) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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