Criciuma 4-0 Athletic Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.16
2-3 Goals
45%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
3.44
6+ Goals
9%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 28% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.3pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Criciuma EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Club EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
1.40/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/1.53
+4% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +131% / -69%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
21.0 Crosses 19.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Criciuma
4-0
AWAY Athletic Club
1.56 xG 0.02
63% Ball Possession 37%
26 Total Shots 1
9 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 0
382 Passes 208
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 3
23 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Criciuma vs Athletic Club
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Criciuma ran out comfortable winners over Athletic Club 4-0 in the Brazil - Serie B on 18 Apr 2025. Half-time: 3-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 43% and both teams to score was close to even at 45%.

On the day, Criciuma had 63% of the ball to Athletic Club's 37%, shots finished 26-1, expected goals 1.56 to 0.02.

What was the final score of Criciuma vs Athletic Club?

Criciuma 4-0 Athletic Club in the Brazil - Serie B on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Criciuma vs Athletic Club?

Before kick-off our model rated a Criciuma win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Criciuma 49%, draw 25%, Athletic Club 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Criciuma), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Criciuma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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