Goias vs Vila Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Goias v Vila Nova — Team-Based Signals
Goias vs Vila Nova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Vila Nova
BR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Goias
BR2
2-1
HT 1-0
Goias
BRGO1
Goias 2-2 Vila Nova — Actual Match Statistics
Goias and Vila Nova couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Goias at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Goias had 56% of the ball to Vila Nova's 44%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 0.96 to 1.18.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vila Nova led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Goias and 1.17 for Vila Nova.
What was the final score of Goias vs Vila Nova?
Goias 2-2 Vila Nova in the Brazil - Serie B on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Goias vs Vila Nova?
Before kick-off our model rated a Goias win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Goias 53%, draw 29%, Vila Nova 19%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.