Vila Nova 1-0 Goias — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 24 Jun 2024

Vila Nova
1-0 HT 0-0
Goias
📅24/06/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Vila Nova vs Goias Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.53
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
27%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
15%
5.59
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+5.4pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.3pp
27%
Away Win
33%
-5.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.5pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.5pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vila Nova v Goias — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vila Nova EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Goias EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
1.34/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.99
-8% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -4%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
264 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
20.7 Crosses 18.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6

Vila Nova vs Goias Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vila Nova
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Goias
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.06 xG 0.87
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
211 Passes 269
70% Pass Accuracy 73%
12 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.03.2024 Vila Nova Vila Nova 1-0 HT 1-0 Goias Goias BRVK
25.09.2021 Goias Goias 1-2 HT 0-1 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
26.06.2021 Vila Nova Vila Nova 0-0 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BR2
11.04.2021 Vila Nova Vila Nova 2-1 HT 1-0 Goias Goias BRGO1
07.03.2021 Goias Goias 1-0 HT 0-0 Vila Nova Vila Nova BRGO1
25.08.2018 Vila Nova Vila Nova 3-0 HT 1-0 Goias Goias BR2

Vila Nova 1-0 Goias — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vila Nova
1-0
AWAY Goias
0.97 xG 0.31
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
221 Passes 304
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vila Nova vs Goias
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vila Nova nicked a narrow win over Goias 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vila Nova as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Vila Nova had 44% of the ball to Goias's 56%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 0.97 to 0.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vila Nova had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vila Nova and 0.50 for Goias.

What was the final score of Vila Nova vs Goias?

Vila Nova 1-0 Goias in the Brazil - Serie B on 24/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vila Nova vs Goias?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vila Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vila Nova 41%, draw 31%, Goias 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vila Nova), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vila Nova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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