Lyngby 1-2 Hillerod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 19 Aug 2025

📅19/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.95
Over 2.5
43%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.35
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.16
6+ Goals
9%
11.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.35 — our 33% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.8
1/2
5%
32.0
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
18%
4.78
X/2
13%
6.94
X/X
12%
4.94
2/1
6%
23.65
2/2
15%
4.96
2/X
5%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.6pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyngby EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Hillerod EU Bookmakers 32%
-17% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.47/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.05
-42% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
32.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
22.0 Crosses 16.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyngby
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Hillerod
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.07.2024 Lyngby Lyngby 0-3 Hillerod Hillerod HAZ
06.09.2023 Hillerod Hillerod 0-2 HT 0-0 Lyngby Lyngby DAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lyngby
1-2
AWAY Hillerod
1.55 xG 1.11
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
555 Passes 365
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lyngby vs Hillerod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hillerod squeezed past Lyngby 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Lyngby at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lyngby had 59% of the ball to Hillerod's 41%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 1.55 to 1.11 — on chances, Lyngby could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lyngby and 1.50 for Hillerod.

What was the final score of Lyngby vs Hillerod?

Lyngby 1-2 Hillerod in the Denmark 1st Division on 19/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyngby vs Hillerod?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lyngby win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lyngby 42%, draw 24%, Hillerod 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lyngby) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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