Esbjerg vs Aalborg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Esbjerg v Aalborg — Team-Based Signals
Esbjerg vs Aalborg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Aalborg
HAZ
1-1
HT 0-0
Aalborg
DAN
4-0
HT 4-0
Esbjerg
DAN
1-4
HT 0-2
Aalborg
DAN
0-1
HT 0-0
Esbjerg
DAN
Esbjerg 1-0 Aalborg — Actual Match Statistics
Esbjerg nicked a narrow win over Aalborg 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Esbjerg found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Esbjerg had 42% of the ball to Aalborg's 58%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 1.16 to 1.29.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aalborg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Esbjerg and 2.00 for Aalborg.
What was the final score of Esbjerg vs Aalborg?
Esbjerg 1-0 Aalborg in the Denmark 1st Division on 19/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Esbjerg vs Aalborg?
Before kick-off our model rated an Aalborg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Esbjerg 35%, draw 25%, Aalborg 40%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.