Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-2 CSKA 1948 Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 19 Sep 2024

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0-2 HT 0-0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
📅19/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Bulgaria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 Sofia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
35%
-4.0pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.2pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv v CSKA 1948 Sofia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 39%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
1.00/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
-11% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +135% / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards –

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 Sofia Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0W-3D-1L
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.04.2024 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-1 HT 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
26.10.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-1 HT 1-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
07.06.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
22.04.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-2 CSKA 1948 Sofia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0-2
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
53% Ball Possession 47%
3 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA 1948 Sofia beat Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 33% / 36%) promised a tight game; CSKA 1948 Sofia found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lokomotiv Plovdiv had 53% of the ball to CSKA 1948 Sofia's 47%, shots finished 3-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, CSKA 1948 Sofia led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 0.75 for CSKA 1948 Sofia.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-2 CSKA 1948 Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA 1948 Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Plovdiv 31%, draw 33%, CSKA 1948 Sofia 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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