ES Setif 1-0 El Bayadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 19 Sep 2024

📅19/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.4
No
55%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
5.71
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
55%
-5.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
38%
+7.6pp
55%
BTTS No
62%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Setif EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY El Bayadh EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.45/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.32
+1% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Setif
1W-0D-3L
AWAY El Bayadh
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2024 El Bayadh El Bayadh 3-0 HT 2-0 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
23.09.2023 ES Setif ES Setif 2-1 HT 2-0 El Bayadh El Bayadh CZYR
07.07.2023 ES Setif ES Setif 1-2 HT 1-1 El Bayadh El Bayadh CZYR
07.12.2022 El Bayadh El Bayadh 2-0 HT 0-0 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ES Setif
1-0
AWAY El Bayadh
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ES Setif vs El Bayadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Setif nicked a narrow win over El Bayadh 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had ES Setif as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, ES Setif had 53% of the ball to El Bayadh's 47%, shots finished 15-4.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, El Bayadh led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for ES Setif and 2.00 for El Bayadh.

What was the final score of ES Setif vs El Bayadh?

ES Setif 1-0 El Bayadh in the Algeria - 1st Division on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Setif vs El Bayadh?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Setif win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split ES Setif 49%, draw 28%, El Bayadh 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Setif), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ES Setif) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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