Mineros de Zacatecas 4-0 CA La Paz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 19 Sep 2024

📅19/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.43
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
66%
-4.5pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.5pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.3pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mineros de Zacatecas EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY CA La Paz EU Bookmakers 18%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +21%
2.24/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/2.07
+25% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mineros de Zacatecas
4W-0D-1L
AWAY CA La Paz
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
18.04.2024 CA La Paz CA La Paz 2-3 HT 0-3 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
08.03.2024 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 3-0 HT 3-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
16.10.2023 CA La Paz CA La Paz 1-4 HT 1-3 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
05.01.2023 CA La Paz CA La Paz 2-0 HT 0-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
17.08.2022 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 2-1 HT 1-1 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
POST-MATCH Mineros de Zacatecas vs CA La Paz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mineros de Zacatecas swept aside CA La Paz 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mineros de Zacatecas as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Mineros de Zacatecas had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Mineros de Zacatecas and 1.20 for CA La Paz.

What was the final score of Mineros de Zacatecas vs CA La Paz?

Mineros de Zacatecas 4-0 CA La Paz in the Mexico - Primera A on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mineros de Zacatecas vs CA La Paz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mineros de Zacatecas win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Mineros de Zacatecas 61%, draw 20%, CA La Paz 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mineros de Zacatecas), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mineros de Zacatecas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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