Trabzonspor 2-2 Kayserispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 19 Sep 2024

Trabzonspor
2-2 HT 0-1
Kayserispor
📅19/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Trabzonspor vs Kayserispor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.1
Over 2.5
44%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.75
No
57%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
4.09
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.07
6+ Goals
9%
9.78
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.09 — our 32% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.96
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.35
X/1
20%
3.88
X/2
9%
11.15
X/X
13%
5.78
2/1
6%
21.85
2/2
7%
8.38
2/X
6%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-6.6pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.2pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.6pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Trabzonspor v Kayserispor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Kayserispor EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.95/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.50
+2% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
417 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
20.5 Crosses 15.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4

Trabzonspor vs Kayserispor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trabzonspor
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Kayserispor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.90 xG 1.43
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
390 Passes 318
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.04.2024 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-2 HT 0-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
03.12.2023 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
01.04.2023 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 3-4 HT 1-2 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
01.10.2022 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-2 HT 1-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
10.05.2022 Kayserispor Kayserispor 4-2 HT 0-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TÜK
19.04.2022 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TÜK

Trabzonspor 2-2 Kayserispor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trabzonspor
2-2
AWAY Kayserispor
2.71 xG 2.40
66% Ball Possession 34%
25 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
461 Passes 208
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
36 Box Touches 24
32 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Trabzonspor vs Kayserispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trabzonspor and Kayserispor couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Trabzonspor at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Trabzonspor had 66% of the ball to Kayserispor's 34%, shots finished 25-13, expected goals 2.71 to 2.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Trabzonspor and 1.83 for Kayserispor.

What was the final score of Trabzonspor vs Kayserispor?

Trabzonspor 2-2 Kayserispor in the Turkey - Super League on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trabzonspor vs Kayserispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trabzonspor win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Trabzonspor 53%, draw 26%, Kayserispor 21%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Trabzonspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →