Kayserispor 1-2 Trabzonspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.07
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.08
6+ Goals
10%
9.86
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.07 — our 29% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.66
1/2
7%
23.6
1/X
9%
12.9
X/1
9%
6.96
X/2
14%
4.9
X/X
13%
5.08
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
15%
2.85
2/X
10%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.7pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.0pp
36%
Away Win
44%
-7.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.8pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kayserispor EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +13%
1.32/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.21
-28% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +19%
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
279 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 81%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
20.1 Crosses 14.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kayserispor
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Trabzonspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.46 xG 2.42
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
284 Passes 488
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 35
16 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2023 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
01.04.2023 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 3-4 HT 1-2 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
01.10.2022 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-2 HT 1-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
10.05.2022 Kayserispor Kayserispor 4-2 HT 0-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TÜK
19.04.2022 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TÜK
25.02.2022 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 3-2 HT 0-2 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kayserispor
1-2
AWAY Trabzonspor
1.57 xG 1.46
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
359 Passes 286
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kayserispor vs Trabzonspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trabzonspor squeezed past Kayserispor 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 36% — and on the day Trabzonspor made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Kayserispor had 55% of the ball to Trabzonspor's 45%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.57 to 1.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kayserispor and 1.83 for Trabzonspor.

What was the final score of Kayserispor vs Trabzonspor?

Kayserispor 1-2 Trabzonspor in the Turkey - Super League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kayserispor vs Trabzonspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trabzonspor win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Kayserispor 32%, draw 32%, Trabzonspor 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trabzonspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trabzonspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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