İstanbulspor vs Fatih Karagümrük Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
İstanbulspor v Fatih Karagümrük — Team-Based Signals
İstanbulspor vs Fatih Karagümrük Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
İstanbulspor
TSL
0-1
HT 0-0
Fatih Karagümrük
HAZTUR
0-1
HT 0-1
Fatih Karagümrük
TSL
1-2
HT 1-0
İstanbulspor
TSL
1-0
HT 0-0
İstanbulspor
T1L
4-0
HT 2-0
Fatih Karagümrük
T1L
İstanbulspor 1-2 Fatih Karagümrük — Actual Match Statistics
Fatih Karagümrük edged past İstanbulspor 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Fatih Karagümrük as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, İstanbulspor had 42% of the ball to Fatih Karagümrük's 58%, shots finished 14-24, expected goals 2.24 to 3.56 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fatih Karagümrük's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fatih Karagümrük led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for İstanbulspor and 1.17 for Fatih Karagümrük.
What was the final score of İstanbulspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
İstanbulspor 1-2 Fatih Karagümrük in the Turkey - Super League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for İstanbulspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Before kick-off our model rated an Fatih Karagümrük win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split İstanbulspor 35%, draw 20%, Fatih Karagümrük 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.