Samsunspor 1-1 Adana Demirspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.22
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.65
6+ Goals
11%
15.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 27% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.2
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
17%
5.05
X/2
9%
6.39
X/X
13%
4.43
2/1
9%
27.0
2/2
13%
4.48
2/X
9%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Adana Demirspor EU Bookmakers 34%
+9% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +12%
1.23/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.63
-24% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
17.8 Crosses 14.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samsunspor
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Adana Demirspor
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.27 xG 1.21
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
331 Passes 315
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
02.12.2023 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 2-3 HT 1-2 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
06.03.2021 Samsunspor Samsunspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor T1L
01.11.2020 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
04.02.2018 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
25.08.2017 Samsunspor Samsunspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor T1L
23.01.2017 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samsunspor
1-1
AWAY Adana Demirspor
2.04 xG 0.47
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
279 Passes 320
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Samsunspor vs Adana Demirspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samsunspor and Adana Demirspor shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Samsunspor at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Samsunspor had 47% of the ball to Adana Demirspor's 53%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 2.04 to 0.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adana Demirspor led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Samsunspor and 1.33 for Adana Demirspor.

What was the final score of Samsunspor vs Adana Demirspor?

Samsunspor 1-1 Adana Demirspor in the Turkey - Super League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samsunspor vs Adana Demirspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samsunspor win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Samsunspor 44%, draw 28%, Adana Demirspor 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Samsunspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Samsunspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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