UPDF vs Lugazi Municipal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
UPDF v Lugazi Municipal — Team-Based Signals
UPDF 1-0 Lugazi Municipal — Actual Match Statistics
UPDF nicked a narrow win over Lugazi Municipal 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 35% / 25% — and on the day UPDF made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, UPDF had 51% of the ball to Lugazi Municipal's 49%, shots finished 9-6.
What was the final score of UPDF vs Lugazi Municipal?
UPDF 1-0 Lugazi Municipal in the Uganda - Premier League on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for UPDF vs Lugazi Municipal?
Before kick-off our model rated a UPDF win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split UPDF 40%, draw 35%, Lugazi Municipal 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UPDF), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.