Kitara 1-2 NEC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 19 Sep 2024

Kitara
1-2 HT 0-0
NEC
📅19/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
34%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.64
Over 2.5
50%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
2.06
No
44%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
54%
-11.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
34%
Away Win
20%
+13.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
57%
-7.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
43%
+7.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
44%
+11.0pp
44%
BTTS No
56%
-11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kitara EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY NEC EU Bookmakers 23%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
1.32/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.07
-27% / +142% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +93% / +44%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
390 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kitara
1W-0D-1L
AWAY NEC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.04.2024 NEC NEC 1-0 HT 0-0 Kitara Kitara UGA
02.12.2023 Kitara Kitara 1-0 HT 1-0 NEC NEC UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kitara
1-2
AWAY NEC
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kitara vs NEC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NEC squeezed past Kitara 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kitara at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kitara had 52% of the ball to NEC's 48%, shots finished 6-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kitara and 0.50 for NEC.

What was the final score of Kitara vs NEC?

Kitara 1-2 NEC in the Uganda - Premier League on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kitara vs NEC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kitara win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kitara 42%, draw 23%, NEC 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kitara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kitara) ✓ BTTS Yes
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