Tottenham Hotspur (K) 1-5 Manchester City (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
5.34
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
59%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
3%
X/2
28%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
28%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
16%
-1.7pp
27%
Draw
20%
+6.1pp
60%
Away Win
64%
-4.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+11.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-11.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.4pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tottenham Hotspur (K) EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City (K) EU Bookmakers 69%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
0.55/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.18
-100% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -15%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
318 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 81%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.6
9.0 Crosses 15.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tottenham Hotspur (K)
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Manchester City (K)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.90 xG 2.25
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
205 Passes 609
74% Pass Accuracy 90%
14 Box Touches 34
10 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.03.2025 Tottenham Hotspur (K) Tottenham Hotspur (K) 1-2 HT 1-1 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
08.11.2024 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 4-0 HT 2-0 Tottenham Hotspur (K) Tottenham Hotspur (K) İNKPL
10.03.2024 Tottenham Hotspur (K) Tottenham Hotspur (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKFAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tottenham Hotspur (K)
1-5
AWAY Manchester City (K)
0.47 xG 4.56
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 25
3 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 8
394 Passes 358
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 53
7 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tottenham Hotspur (K) vs Manchester City (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City (K) swept aside Tottenham Hotspur (K) 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Manchester City (K) as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Tottenham Hotspur (K) had 52% of the ball to Manchester City (K)'s 48%, shots finished 6-25, expected goals 0.47 to 4.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Manchester City (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tottenham Hotspur (K) and 2.33 for Manchester City (K).

What was the final score of Tottenham Hotspur (K) vs Manchester City (K)?

Tottenham Hotspur (K) 1-5 Manchester City (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tottenham Hotspur (K) vs Manchester City (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Tottenham Hotspur (K) 14%, draw 27%, Manchester City (K) 60%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City (K)), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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