Herrestads 1-1 Grebbestads IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
19%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
58%
-0.0pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.4pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-1.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Herrestads EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Grebbestads IF EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
2.07/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/2.03
-8% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
398 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Herrestads
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Grebbestads IF
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
19.06.2025 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF 1-2 HT 1-1 Herrestads Herrestads İSÇ4
27.09.2024 Herrestads Herrestads 1-0 HT 0-0 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF İSÇ4
24.05.2024 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF 2-2 HT 0-1 Herrestads Herrestads İSÇ4
16.09.2023 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF 0-4 HT 0-3 Herrestads Herrestads İSÇ4
18.05.2023 Herrestads Herrestads 1-0 HT 1-0 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF İSÇ4
05.08.2022 Herrestads Herrestads 3-0 HT 0-0 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Herrestads
1-1
AWAY Grebbestads IF
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Herrestads vs Grebbestads IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Herrestads and Grebbestads IF couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Herrestads at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Herrestads had 55% of the ball to Grebbestads IF's 45%, shots finished 12-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Herrestads had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Herrestads and 0.50 for Grebbestads IF.

What was the final score of Herrestads vs Grebbestads IF?

Herrestads 1-1 Grebbestads IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Herrestads vs Grebbestads IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Herrestads win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Herrestads 58%, draw 23%, Grebbestads IF 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Herrestads), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Herrestads) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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