Herrestads 1-0 Grebbestads IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.43
No
39%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-8.4pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.8pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
66%
-5.0pp
39%
BTTS No
34%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Herrestads EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Grebbestads IF EU Bookmakers 32%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -11%
1.65/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/2.17
-15% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
360 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Herrestads
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Grebbestads IF
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
24.05.2024 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF 2-2 HT 0-1 Herrestads Herrestads İSÇ4
16.09.2023 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF 0-4 HT 0-3 Herrestads Herrestads İSÇ4
18.05.2023 Herrestads Herrestads 1-0 HT 1-0 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF İSÇ4
05.08.2022 Herrestads Herrestads 3-0 HT 0-0 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF İSÇ4
15.04.2022 Grebbestads IF Grebbestads IF 4-1 HT 1-0 Herrestads Herrestads İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Herrestads
1-0
AWAY Grebbestads IF
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Herrestads vs Grebbestads IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Herrestads edged past Grebbestads IF 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Herrestads made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Herrestads had 61% of the ball to Grebbestads IF's 39%, shots finished 12-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Herrestads had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Herrestads and 1.20 for Grebbestads IF.

What was the final score of Herrestads vs Grebbestads IF?

Herrestads 1-0 Grebbestads IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Herrestads vs Grebbestads IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Herrestads win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Herrestads 40%, draw 26%, Grebbestads IF 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Herrestads) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Herrestads) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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