Nacka Iliria 2-0 Enskede IK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
39%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.38
Over 2.5
59%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-5.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+6.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacka Iliria EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Enskede IK EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.62/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.86
-14% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacka Iliria
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Enskede IK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
01.06.2024 Enskede IK Enskede IK 0-1 HT 0-1 Nacka Iliria Nacka Iliria İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Nacka Iliria vs Enskede IK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacka Iliria beat Enskede IK 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 23% / 39% — and on the day Nacka Iliria made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Nacka Iliria vs Enskede IK?

Nacka Iliria 2-0 Enskede IK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacka Iliria vs Enskede IK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Enskede IK win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nacka Iliria 37%, draw 23%, Enskede IK 39%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Enskede IK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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