Umea FC Akademi 1-3 Team TG FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
7.95
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
64%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.59
Over 2.5
63%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
33%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
10%
+8.2pp
19%
Draw
14%
+4.3pp
64%
Away Win
76%
-12.5pp
37%
Under 2.5
24%
+12.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
76%
-12.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.0pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umea FC Akademi EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Team TG FF EU Bookmakers 81%
+11% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +11%
1.79/2.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.53
+92% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +68%
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
239 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 459 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umea FC Akademi
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Team TG FF
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
09.06.2024 Team TG FF Team TG FF 8-0 HT 0-0 Umea FC Akademi İSÇ4
20.11.2021 Umea FC Akademi 2-1 HT 0-0 Team TG FF Team TG FF İSÇ4
12.09.2021 Team TG FF Team TG FF 2-3 HT 1-2 Umea FC Akademi İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Umea FC Akademi vs Team TG FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Team TG FF beat Umea FC Akademi 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Team TG FF as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Umea FC Akademi had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Umea FC Akademi and 3.67 for Team TG FF.

What was the final score of Umea FC Akademi vs Team TG FF?

Umea FC Akademi 1-3 Team TG FF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umea FC Akademi vs Team TG FF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Team TG FF win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Umea FC Akademi 18%, draw 19%, Team TG FF 64%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Team TG FF), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Team TG FF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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