Vanersborgs FK 1-0 Stenungsund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-2.8pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.7pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-3.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.0pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vanersborgs FK EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenungsund EU Bookmakers 37%
-22% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -10%
1.66/2.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/2.20
-13% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
305 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vanersborgs FK
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Stenungsund
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
4 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
25.05.2024 Stenungsund Stenungsund 1-3 HT 0-2 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
13.10.2023 Stenungsund Stenungsund 1-1 HT 1-1 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
16.06.2023 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
13.08.2022 Stenungsund Stenungsund 1-3 HT 1-0 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
23.04.2022 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 0-1 HT 0-1 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
29.09.2021 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 1-4 HT 0-1 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vanersborgs FK
1-0
AWAY Stenungsund
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vanersborgs FK vs Stenungsund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vanersborgs FK edged past Stenungsund 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Vanersborgs FK made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vanersborgs FK had 56% of the ball to Stenungsund's 44%, shots finished 16-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vanersborgs FK and 1.33 for Stenungsund.

What was the final score of Vanersborgs FK vs Stenungsund?

Vanersborgs FK 1-0 Stenungsund in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vanersborgs FK vs Stenungsund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vanersborgs FK win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vanersborgs FK 40%, draw 31%, Stenungsund 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vanersborgs FK), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vanersborgs FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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