Stenungsund 1-3 Vanersborgs FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
35%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.33
Over 2.5
48%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
53%
-14.7pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.5pp
34%
Away Win
25%
+9.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
39%
+13.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
61%
-13.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.8pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stenungsund EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Vanersborgs FK EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +27%
1.87/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.25
-11% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +57%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stenungsund
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Vanersborgs FK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
13.10.2023 Stenungsund Stenungsund 1-1 HT 1-1 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
16.06.2023 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
13.08.2022 Stenungsund Stenungsund 1-3 HT 1-0 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
23.04.2022 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 0-1 HT 0-1 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
29.09.2021 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 1-4 HT 0-1 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
08.09.2021 Stenungsund Stenungsund 2-2 HT 1-0 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Stenungsund vs Vanersborgs FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vanersborgs FK saw off Stenungsund 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Vanersborgs FK made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stenungsund had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Stenungsund and 1.17 for Vanersborgs FK.

What was the final score of Stenungsund vs Vanersborgs FK?

Stenungsund 1-3 Vanersborgs FK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stenungsund vs Vanersborgs FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stenungsund win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Stenungsund 38%, draw 27%, Vanersborgs FK 34%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stenungsund), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stenungsund) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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