IFK Lulea 3-1 Kiruna FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.61
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.49
No
41%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
28%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-3.5pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.4pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
63%
-4.1pp
41%
BTTS No
37%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Lulea EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Kiruna FF EU Bookmakers 24%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.85/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/2.24
-12% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
436 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Lulea
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Kiruna FF
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
06.08.2023 Kiruna FF Kiruna FF 2-1 HT 0-0 IFK Lulea IFK Lulea İSÇ4
02.04.2023 IFK Lulea IFK Lulea 6-0 HT 3-0 Kiruna FF Kiruna FF İSÇ4
08.10.2022 Kiruna FF Kiruna FF 1-1 HT 0-1 IFK Lulea IFK Lulea İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IFK Lulea vs Kiruna FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Lulea saw off Kiruna FF 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had IFK Lulea as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for IFK Lulea and 1.00 for Kiruna FF.

What was the final score of IFK Lulea vs Kiruna FF?

IFK Lulea 3-1 Kiruna FF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Lulea vs Kiruna FF?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Lulea win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split IFK Lulea 53%, draw 25%, Kiruna FF 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IFK Lulea), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (IFK Lulea) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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