25/05/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
BK Forward vs Kongahalla Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
33%
Draw
23%
40%
Away Win
49%
60%
Under 2.5
38%
40%
Over 2.5
62%
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
45%
BTTS No
37%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BK Forward v Kongahalla — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
BK Forward
EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY
Kongahalla
EU Bookmakers 53%
-23% /
-23%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+39% /
+39%
0.76/1.70
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
4.00/1.00
-51%
/
-2%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+122%
/
+36%
40%
Ball Possession
60%
12
Total Shots
12
3
Shots on Target
5
3
Corners
4
330 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
384 · 83%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.0
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
BK Forward vs Kongahalla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Kongahalla got the better of BK Forward 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.
Our pre-match split (27% / 33% / 40%) promised a tight game; Kongahalla found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.
What was the final score of BK Forward vs Kongahalla?
BK Forward 1-3 Kongahalla in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BK Forward vs Kongahalla?
Before kick-off our model rated an Kongahalla win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split BK Forward 27%, draw 33%, Kongahalla 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kongahalla), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Kongahalla)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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İSÇ4
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25 May 2024