Real Betis 3-1 Real Sociedad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
2.03
Over
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.69
2-3
41%
1.79
4-5
23%
3.06
6+
9%
10.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.54
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.7
X/1
18%
4.67
X/2
10%
7.81
X/X
13%
5.07
2/1
7%
22.35
2/2
13%
5.62
2/X
6%
13.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.35 — our 7% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.1pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Betis The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad The Market 29%
+1% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -20%
1.55/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.25
+8% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
17.9 Crosses 16.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Betis
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Real Sociedad
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.20 xG 0.79
57% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
429 Passes 269
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2025 Real Betis Real Betis 3-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
01.12.2024 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 2-0 HT 2-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
19.05.2024 Real Betis Real Betis 0-2 HT 0-2 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
17.12.2023 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
06.08.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad HAZ
25.04.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Betis
3-1
AWAY Real Sociedad
2.25 xG 0.84
50% Ball Possession 50%
21 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
400 Passes 385
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 22
6 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Real Betis vs Real Sociedad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Betis got the better of Real Sociedad 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Betis as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Real Betis had 50% of the ball to Real Sociedad's 50%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 2.25 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Real Betis and 0.83 for Real Sociedad.

What was the final score of Real Betis vs Real Sociedad?

Real Betis 3-1 Real Sociedad in the Spain - Primera Liga on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Betis vs Real Sociedad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Betis win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Real Betis 46%, draw 25%, Real Sociedad 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Betis), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Betis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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