Real Sociedad 2-0 Real Betis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 1 Dec 2024

Real Sociedad
2-0 HT 2-0
Real Betis
📅01/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Real Sociedad vs Real Betis Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.66
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.67
Over
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
2.09
No
48%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2.68
2-3
39%
1.79
4-5 ✗
26%
4.48
6+
8%
23.4
Value flag · 4-5 at 4.48 — our 26% vs market 17.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.46
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X ✗
12%
18.45
X/1
13%
4.15
X/2
11%
10.9
X/X
11%
4.98
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
8%
9.41
2/X
7%
19.55
Value flag · 1/X at 18.45 — our 12% vs market 3.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 52% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-10.6pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.8pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+8.1pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Sociedad v Real Betis — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Betis EU Bookmakers 22%
-8% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +11%
1.52/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.63
-21% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
19.8 Crosses 15.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4

Real Sociedad vs Real Betis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Real Betis
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.95 xG 0.97
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
331 Passes 344
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.05.2024 Real Betis Real Betis 0-2 HT 0-2 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
17.12.2023 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
06.08.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad HAZ
25.04.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
30.10.2022 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0-2 HT 0-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
15.04.2022 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1

Real Sociedad 2-0 Real Betis — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad
2-0
AWAY Real Betis
0.79 xG 0.40
41% Ball Possession 59%
2 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 4
268 Passes 429
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
3 Box Touches 20
7 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad vs Real Betis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad saw off Real Betis 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Sociedad as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Real Sociedad had 41% of the ball to Real Betis's 59%, shots finished 2-7, expected goals 0.79 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Real Sociedad and 0.33 for Real Betis.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad vs Real Betis?

Real Sociedad 2-0 Real Betis in the Spain - Primera Liga on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad vs Real Betis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad 45%, draw 30%, Real Betis 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Sociedad), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Sociedad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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