Villarreal vs Girona Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Villarreal v Girona — Team-Based Signals
Villarreal vs Girona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Girona
İS1
1-2
HT 1-1
Villarreal
İS1
1-0
HT 0-0
Girona
İS1
0-1
HT 0-1
Villarreal
İSPK
0-3
HT 0-0
Villarreal
İSPK
Villarreal 2-2 Girona — Actual Match Statistics
Villarreal and Girona couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Villarreal at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, Villarreal had 36% of the ball to Girona's 64%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 2.02 to 0.54.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Villarreal had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Villarreal and 0.50 for Girona.
What was the final score of Villarreal vs Girona?
Villarreal 2-2 Girona in the Spain - Primera Liga on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Villarreal vs Girona?
Before kick-off our model rated a Villarreal win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Villarreal 45%, draw 26%, Girona 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Villarreal) went the other way.