Real Madrid 2-0 Getafe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 1 Dec 2024

Real Madrid
2-0 HT 2-0
Getafe
📅01/12/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Real Madrid vs Getafe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
59%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.97
Over
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
24%
3.6
2-3
42%
1.82
4-5
23%
3.41
6+
11%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.6 — our 24% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.8
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
24.3
X/1
21%
3.81
X/2
6%
18.95
X/X
7%
7.14
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
7%
16.2
2/X
8%
25.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Real Madrid win — 59% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
69%
-10.0pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.1pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.1pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Madrid v Getafe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Getafe EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
2.17/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.48
+22% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
429 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
38.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
18.2 Crosses 16.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.2

Real Madrid vs Getafe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Getafe
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.55 xG 0.59
70% Ball Possession 30%
20 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
650 Passes 230
90% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.02.2024 Getafe Getafe 0-2 HT 0-1 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
02.09.2023 Real Madrid Real Madrid 2-1 HT 0-1 Getafe Getafe İS1
13.05.2023 Real Madrid Real Madrid 1-0 HT 0-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
08.10.2022 Getafe Getafe 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
09.04.2022 Real Madrid Real Madrid 2-0 HT 1-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
02.01.2022 Getafe Getafe 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1

Real Madrid 2-0 Getafe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid
2-0
AWAY Getafe
3.18 xG 0.45
69% Ball Possession 31%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
556 Passes 200
90% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 13
11 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Real Madrid vs Getafe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid got the better of Getafe 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Madrid as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Real Madrid had 69% of the ball to Getafe's 31%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 3.18 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Real Madrid and 0.33 for Getafe.

What was the final score of Real Madrid vs Getafe?

Real Madrid 2-0 Getafe in the Spain - Primera Liga on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid vs Getafe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid 59%, draw 23%, Getafe 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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