Lierse Kempenzonen 2-0 RWDM Brussels — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
55%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.36
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.15
6+ Goals
7%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 31% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
26%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
21%
-0.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
55%
Away Win
55%
-0.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY RWDM Brussels EU Bookmakers 60%
+1% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.00/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/0.76
-1% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / -7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
305 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
15.8 Crosses 6.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 5.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen
2-0
AWAY RWDM Brussels
1.37 xG 0.38
35% Ball Possession 65%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
235 Passes 494
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lierse Kempenzonen vs RWDM Brussels
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lierse Kempenzonen beat RWDM Brussels 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had RWDM Brussels at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Lierse Kempenzonen had 35% of the ball to RWDM Brussels's 65%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.37 to 0.38.

What was the final score of Lierse Kempenzonen vs RWDM Brussels?

Lierse Kempenzonen 2-0 RWDM Brussels in the Belgium - 1st Division on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lierse Kempenzonen vs RWDM Brussels?

Before kick-off our model rated an RWDM Brussels win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Lierse Kempenzonen 20%, draw 25%, RWDM Brussels 55%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (RWDM Brussels) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RWDM Brussels) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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