Lommel United 1-2 KRC Genk II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.61
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
18%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.33
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
2.7
6+ Goals
13%
7.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
58%
+4.6pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.3pp
18%
Away Win
20%
-2.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.9pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lommel United EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY KRC Genk II EU Bookmakers 23%
-19% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -10%
1.74/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.84
-26% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
21.8 Crosses 14.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lommel United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY KRC Genk II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.86 xG 1.36
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
375 Passes 321
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2025 Lommel United Lommel United 2-0 HT 1-0 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
25.10.2024 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 0-4 HT 0-1 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
25.02.2024 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 1-1 HT 0-0 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
01.12.2023 Lommel United Lommel United 0-1 HT 0-1 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
21.04.2023 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 2-3 HT 1-2 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
12.03.2023 Lommel United Lommel United 2-0 HT 0-0 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lommel United
1-2
AWAY KRC Genk II
1.19 xG 1.32
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
561 Passes 294
89% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lommel United vs KRC Genk II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KRC Genk II squeezed past Lommel United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Lommel United at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Lommel United had 64% of the ball to KRC Genk II's 36%, shots finished 18-16, expected goals 1.19 to 1.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lommel United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lommel United and 0.67 for KRC Genk II.

What was the final score of Lommel United vs KRC Genk II?

Lommel United 1-2 KRC Genk II in the Belgium - 1st Division on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lommel United vs KRC Genk II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lommel United win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Lommel United 63%, draw 20%, KRC Genk II 18%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lommel United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lommel United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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