KRC Genk II 1-1 Lommel United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 25 Feb 2024

KRC Genk II
1-1 HT 0-0
Lommel United
📅25/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Belgium - 1st Division – 2023/2024

KRC Genk II vs Lommel United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
46%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.33
Over 2.5
51%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.49
No
50%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.85
2-3 Goals
39%
1.93
4-5 Goals
20%
2.8
6+ Goals
12%
7.56
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.85 — our 29% vs market 15.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
33%
-3.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
46%
Away Win
42%
+4.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
39%
+9.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
61%
-9.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
63%
-13.3pp
50%
BTTS No
37%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

KRC Genk II v Lommel United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KRC Genk II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Lommel United EU Bookmakers 46%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.52/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.07
-9% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 80%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
13.6 Crosses 15.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.4

KRC Genk II vs Lommel United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KRC Genk II
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Lommel United
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.59 xG 1.48
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 6
323 Passes 361
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.12.2023 Lommel United Lommel United 0-1 HT 0-1 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
21.04.2023 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 2-3 HT 1-2 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
12.03.2023 Lommel United Lommel United 2-0 HT 0-0 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
18.11.2022 Lommel United Lommel United 2-1 HT 1-0 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
26.08.2022 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 0-3 HT 0-1 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2

KRC Genk II 1-1 Lommel United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KRC Genk II
1-1
AWAY Lommel United
1.43 xG 0.57
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
325 Passes 348
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH KRC Genk II vs Lommel United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KRC Genk II and Lommel United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Lommel United at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, KRC Genk II had 48% of the ball to Lommel United's 52%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.43 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lommel United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for KRC Genk II and 2.00 for Lommel United.

What was the final score of KRC Genk II vs Lommel United?

KRC Genk II 1-1 Lommel United in the Belgium - 1st Division on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KRC Genk II vs Lommel United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lommel United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split KRC Genk II 30%, draw 24%, Lommel United 46%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lommel United) ✗ Over 2.5
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