Boussu Dour Borinage 2-1 SV Zulte Waregem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
46%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.25
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
3.0
6+ Goals
13%
9.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
46%
Away Win
42%
+3.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.6pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boussu Dour Borinage EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY SV Zulte Waregem EU Bookmakers 46%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.74/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.74/2.17
-46% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 80%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.9
18.8 Crosses 26.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boussu Dour Borinage
1W-0D-0L
AWAY SV Zulte Waregem
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.42 xG 2.62
35% Ball Possession 65%
15 Total Shots 31
5 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 23
197 Passes 421
69% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 49
15 Crosses 49
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2023 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 1-3 HT 0-2 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boussu Dour Borinage
2-1
AWAY SV Zulte Waregem
1.22 xG 1.51
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
175 Passes 312
62% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 29
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Boussu Dour Borinage vs SV Zulte Waregem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boussu Dour Borinage edged past SV Zulte Waregem 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was SV Zulte Waregem at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Boussu Dour Borinage had 41% of the ball to SV Zulte Waregem's 59%, shots finished 16-19, expected goals 1.22 to 1.51.

What was the final score of Boussu Dour Borinage vs SV Zulte Waregem?

Boussu Dour Borinage 2-1 SV Zulte Waregem in the Belgium - 1st Division on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boussu Dour Borinage vs SV Zulte Waregem?

Before kick-off our model rated an SV Zulte Waregem win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Boussu Dour Borinage 30%, draw 24%, SV Zulte Waregem 46%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (SV Zulte Waregem) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SV Zulte Waregem) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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