KRC Genk II 0-4 Lommel United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 25 Oct 2024

📅25/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
47%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.72
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
27%
3.27
6+ Goals
10%
11.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+3.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
47%
Away Win
48%
-1.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KRC Genk II EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Lommel United EU Bookmakers 52%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.52/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/0.96
+12% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
303 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
13.4 Crosses 13.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KRC Genk II
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Lommel United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.57 xG 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 6
323 Passes 359
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2024 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 1-1 HT 0-0 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
01.12.2023 Lommel United Lommel United 0-1 HT 0-1 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
21.04.2023 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 2-3 HT 1-2 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
12.03.2023 Lommel United Lommel United 2-0 HT 0-0 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
18.11.2022 Lommel United Lommel United 2-1 HT 1-0 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
26.08.2022 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 0-3 HT 0-1 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KRC Genk II
0-4
AWAY Lommel United
0.92 xG 2.21
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 10
8 Corners 3
384 Passes 343
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 29
27 Crosses 16
POST-MATCH KRC Genk II vs Lommel United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lommel United ran out comfortable winners over KRC Genk II 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lommel United as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, KRC Genk II had 53% of the ball to Lommel United's 47%, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 0.92 to 2.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lommel United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for KRC Genk II and 1.83 for Lommel United.

What was the final score of KRC Genk II vs Lommel United?

KRC Genk II 0-4 Lommel United in the Belgium - 1st Division on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KRC Genk II vs Lommel United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lommel United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split KRC Genk II 30%, draw 23%, Lommel United 47%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lommel United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lommel United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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