Gent 3-0 Dender EH — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 19 Sep 2025

Gent
3-0 HT 1-0
Dender EH
📅19/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

Gent vs Dender EH Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.07
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
28%
2.88
6+ Goals
10%
8.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.12
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.6
X/1
21%
4.34
X/2
8%
9.59
X/X
8%
5.67
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
20.75
2/2
6%
7.13
2/X
7%
14.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.75 — our 14% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
56%
+1.0pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.5pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-0.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.7pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gent v Dender EH — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gent EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Dender EH EU Bookmakers 24%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -16%
1.88/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/2.18
+2% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
19.2 Crosses 16.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.2

Gent vs Dender EH Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gent
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Dender EH
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.15 xG 0.86
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
460 Passes 322
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
12.01.2025 Dender EH Dender EH 0-0 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
04.08.2024 Gent Gent 1-2 HT 0-1 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
04.04.2009 Dender EH Dender EH 1-1 HT 1-1 Gent Gent BEL
08.11.2008 Gent Gent 1-1 HT 1-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
10.05.2008 Dender EH Dender EH 0-3 HT 0-2 Gent Gent BEL
22.12.2007 Gent Gent 2-4 HT 1-2 Dender EH Dender EH BEL

Gent 3-0 Dender EH — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gent
3-0
AWAY Dender EH
1.70 xG 1.08
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
580 Passes 301
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gent vs Dender EH
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gent ran out comfortable winners over Dender EH 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gent as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Gent had 63% of the ball to Dender EH's 37%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.70 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dender EH led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gent and 1.33 for Dender EH.

What was the final score of Gent vs Dender EH?

Gent 3-0 Dender EH in the Belgium - Pro League on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gent vs Dender EH?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gent win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Gent 57%, draw 23%, Dender EH 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gent), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gent) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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