Atletico Choloma 2-1 CD Victoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.5pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.3pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.4pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Choloma EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH Atletico Choloma vs CD Victoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Choloma nicked a narrow win over CD Victoria 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 23% / 37%) promised a tight game; Atletico Choloma found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Atletico Choloma vs CD Victoria?

Atletico Choloma 2-1 CD Victoria in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Choloma vs CD Victoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Choloma win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Atletico Choloma 40%, draw 23%, CD Victoria 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Choloma) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Choloma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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