Lobos UPNFM vs Marathon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lobos UPNFM v Marathon — Team-Based Signals
Lobos UPNFM vs Marathon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Lobos UPNFM and Marathon couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Marathon at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lobos UPNFM and 1.33 for Marathon.
What was the final score of Lobos UPNFM vs Marathon?
Lobos UPNFM 2-2 Marathon in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lobos UPNFM vs Marathon?
Before kick-off our model rated an Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Lobos UPNFM 28%, draw 26%, Marathon 46%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Marathon), Under 2.5 went the other way.