Marathon vs Lobos UPNFM Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marathon v Lobos UPNFM — Team-Based Signals
Marathon vs Lobos UPNFM Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Lobos UPNFM
HON
1-3
HT 0-2
Marathon
HON
Marathon and Lobos UPNFM shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
This one beat our numbers. Marathon carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marathon had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Marathon and 1.00 for Lobos UPNFM.
What was the final score of Marathon vs Lobos UPNFM?
Marathon 3-3 Lobos UPNFM in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marathon vs Lobos UPNFM?
Before kick-off our model rated a Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Marathon 57%, draw 26%, Lobos UPNFM 17%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.