Olancho 0-3 Real Espana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
24%
2.94
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.52
Over 2.5
47%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.2pp
24%
Draw
30%
-6.2pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.5pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olancho EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Espana EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.19/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.02
-9% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
264 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olancho
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Real Espana
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
21.10.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 1-1 HT 1-1 Olancho Olancho HON
12.08.2024 Olancho Olancho 3-1 HT 3-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
31.03.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 1-1 HT 1-1 Olancho Olancho HON
01.02.2024 Olancho Olancho 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
26.11.2023 Olancho Olancho 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
21.09.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 3-1 HT 2-0 Olancho Olancho HON
POST-MATCH Olancho vs Real Espana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Espana ran out comfortable winners over Olancho 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Real Espana found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Olancho and 1.33 for Real Espana.

What was the final score of Olancho vs Real Espana?

Olancho 0-3 Real Espana in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olancho vs Real Espana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olancho win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Olancho 40%, draw 24%, Real Espana 36%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Olancho) ✗ Under 2.5
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