Motagua 2-1 CD Victoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
25%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
65%
-13.4pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.4pp
25%
Away Win
14%
+10.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.7pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motagua EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 17%
+1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
2.15/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.01
+10% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
428 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motagua
4W-1D-1L
AWAY CD Victoria
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
01.12.2024 Motagua Motagua 5-2 HT 3-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
23.09.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-3 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
31.03.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 2-2 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
01.02.2024 Motagua Motagua 3-0 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
26.11.2023 Motagua Motagua 1-3 HT 1-2 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
21.09.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-4 HT 0-3 Motagua Motagua HON
POST-MATCH Motagua vs CD Victoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motagua squeezed past CD Victoria 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Motagua as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motagua had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Motagua and 1.33 for CD Victoria.

What was the final score of Motagua vs CD Victoria?

Motagua 2-1 CD Victoria in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motagua vs CD Victoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Motagua 52%, draw 23%, CD Victoria 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motagua), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Motagua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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