Lobos UPNFM 0-0 Marathon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.6pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lobos UPNFM EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Marathon EU Bookmakers 48%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -1%
0.95/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.09
-10% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
294 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lobos UPNFM
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Marathon
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
02.03.2025 Marathon Marathon 3-3 HT 2-1 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
27.10.2024 Marathon Marathon 1-2 HT 1-1 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
18.08.2024 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 2-0 HT 0-0 Marathon Marathon HON
10.03.2024 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 0-1 HT 0-1 Marathon Marathon HON
21.01.2024 Marathon Marathon 3-1 HT 3-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
26.11.2023 Marathon Marathon 3-0 HT 2-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
POST-MATCH Lobos UPNFM vs Marathon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lobos UPNFM and Marathon played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Marathon at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marathon led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lobos UPNFM and 1.83 for Marathon.

What was the final score of Lobos UPNFM vs Marathon?

Lobos UPNFM 0-0 Marathon in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lobos UPNFM vs Marathon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lobos UPNFM 31%, draw 27%, Marathon 43%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Marathon), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marathon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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