Real Espana 1-0 Olancho — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.74
Over 2.5
38%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.88
No
63%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.7pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
54%
+8.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
46%
-8.3pp
37%
BTTS Yes
49%
-12.4pp
63%
BTTS No
51%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Espana EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Olancho EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.44/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.03
-5% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Espana
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Olancho
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
02.03.2025 Olancho Olancho 0-3 HT 0-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
21.10.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 1-1 HT 1-1 Olancho Olancho HON
12.08.2024 Olancho Olancho 3-1 HT 3-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
31.03.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 1-1 HT 1-1 Olancho Olancho HON
01.02.2024 Olancho Olancho 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
26.11.2023 Olancho Olancho 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
POST-MATCH Real Espana vs Olancho
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Espana edged past Olancho 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Espana as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Real Espana and 1.17 for Olancho.

What was the final score of Real Espana vs Olancho?

Real Espana 1-0 Olancho in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Espana vs Olancho?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Espana win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Real Espana 45%, draw 29%, Olancho 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Espana), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Espana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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