CD Victoria 1-1 Motagua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.97
Over 2.5
44%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+1.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
47%
+9.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
53%
-9.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-11.5pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Motagua EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +14%
1.35/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/0.93
+36% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
327 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Victoria
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Motagua
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
02.03.2025 Motagua Motagua 2-1 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
01.12.2024 Motagua Motagua 5-2 HT 3-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
23.09.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-3 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
31.03.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 2-2 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
01.02.2024 Motagua Motagua 3-0 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
26.11.2023 Motagua Motagua 1-3 HT 1-2 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
POST-MATCH CD Victoria vs Motagua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Victoria and Motagua shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motagua led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CD Victoria and 2.67 for Motagua.

What was the final score of CD Victoria vs Motagua?

CD Victoria 1-1 Motagua in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Victoria vs Motagua?

Before kick-off our model rated an Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split CD Victoria 31%, draw 29%, Motagua 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Motagua), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Motagua) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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