Juticalpa 1-0 CD Real Sociedad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.7
No
56%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
55%
-10.4pp
56%
BTTS No
45%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juticalpa EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 40%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.99/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.28
-22% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juticalpa
0W-3D-0L
AWAY CD Real Sociedad
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
03.03.2025 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 0-0 HT 0-0 Juticalpa Juticalpa HON
06.10.2024 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 1-1 HT 1-1 Juticalpa Juticalpa HON
05.08.2024 Juticalpa Juticalpa 1-1 HT 0-1 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
POST-MATCH Juticalpa vs CD Real Sociedad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juticalpa squeezed past CD Real Sociedad 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Juticalpa made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Juticalpa and 0.67 for CD Real Sociedad.

What was the final score of Juticalpa vs CD Real Sociedad?

Juticalpa 1-0 CD Real Sociedad in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juticalpa vs CD Real Sociedad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juticalpa win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Juticalpa 38%, draw 27%, CD Real Sociedad 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juticalpa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Juticalpa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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