Fajr Sepasi 1-0 Zob Ahan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.08
Draw
48%
2.83
Away
26%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
76%
1.36
Over 2.5
24%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.33
No
55%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.82
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
14%
6.58
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
14%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
29%
-2.6pp
48%
Draw
32%
+16.1pp
26%
Away Win
39%
-13.4pp
76%
Under 2.5
70%
+5.7pp
24%
Over 2.5
30%
-5.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
39%
+5.8pp
55%
BTTS No
61%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fajr Sepasi EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Zob Ahan EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
0.59/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.72
-34% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
253 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fajr Sepasi
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Zob Ahan
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
19.05.2022 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi 0-1 HT 0-1 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
03.01.2022 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan 2-0 HT 1-0 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi IRAN
POST-MATCH Fajr Sepasi vs Zob Ahan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fajr Sepasi nicked a narrow win over Zob Ahan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (76%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Zob Ahan led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Fajr Sepasi and 1.50 for Zob Ahan.

What was the final score of Fajr Sepasi vs Zob Ahan?

Fajr Sepasi 1-0 Zob Ahan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fajr Sepasi vs Zob Ahan?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fajr Sepasi 26%, draw 48%, Zob Ahan 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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