Aluminium Arak 2-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.36
Over 2.5
29%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
30%
2.44
No
70%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
50%
1.78
2-3 Goals
33%
1.8
4-5 Goals
11%
6.85
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 1.78 — our 50% vs market 46.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
26%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-6.2pp
33%
Draw
33%
+0.3pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.9pp
71%
Under 2.5
70%
+1.4pp
29%
Over 2.5
30%
-1.4pp
30%
BTTS Yes
37%
-7.0pp
70%
BTTS No
63%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aluminium Arak EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -7%
1.16/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.17
-6% / +95% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
307 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aluminium Arak
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Esteghlal Khuzestan
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
02.05.2025 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 5-1 HT 1-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
20.01.2025 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 1-1 HT 1-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
20.12.2024 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 1-1 HT 0-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
15.08.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-0 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
12.04.2024 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-1 HT 0-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
21.02.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 3-2 HT 0-1 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
POST-MATCH Aluminium Arak vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aluminium Arak saw off Esteghlal Khuzestan 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 33% / 30% — and on the day Aluminium Arak made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (70%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Esteghlal Khuzestan led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Aluminium Arak and 1.83 for Esteghlal Khuzestan.

What was the final score of Aluminium Arak vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?

Aluminium Arak 2-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aluminium Arak vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aluminium Arak win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Aluminium Arak 37%, draw 33%, Esteghlal Khuzestan 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aluminium Arak), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aluminium Arak) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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