Aluminium Arak 1-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 20 Jan 2025

📅20/01/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.27
Draw
24%
2.61
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
76%
1.33
Over 2.5
24%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
29%
2.44
No
71%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
48%
1.74
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals
11%
7.33
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
41%
+8.0pp
24%
Draw
35%
-10.8pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.7pp
76%
Under 2.5
72%
+4.5pp
24%
Over 2.5
28%
-4.5pp
29%
BTTS Yes
37%
-7.7pp
71%
BTTS No
63%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aluminium Arak EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -21%
0.99/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.22
-12% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aluminium Arak
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Esteghlal Khuzestan
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
20.12.2024 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 1-1 HT 0-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
15.08.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-0 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
12.04.2024 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-1 HT 0-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
21.02.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 3-2 HT 0-1 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
27.10.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 HT 1-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
15.08.2023 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 1-0 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
POST-MATCH Aluminium Arak vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aluminium Arak and Esteghlal Khuzestan shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Aluminium Arak at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (76%) landed while no to both teams scoring (71%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Esteghlal Khuzestan led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Aluminium Arak and 1.00 for Esteghlal Khuzestan.

What was the final score of Aluminium Arak vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?

Aluminium Arak 1-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 20/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aluminium Arak vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aluminium Arak win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Aluminium Arak 49%, draw 24%, Esteghlal Khuzestan 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aluminium Arak), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aluminium Arak) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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