Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-1 Shams Azar Qazvin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 20 Jan 2025

📅20/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.45
Over 2.5
41%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.75
No
63%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2.0
2-3 Goals
35%
1.76
4-5 Goals
14%
5.7
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-12.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+10.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
65%
-6.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
35%
+6.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
32%
+4.8pp
63%
BTTS No
68%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Shams Azar Qazvin EU Bookmakers 16%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.36/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.57
-14% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +92% / -5%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
424 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Shams Azar Qazvin
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
13.09.2024 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin 2-2 HT 1-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
16.08.2024 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin 1-2 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
19.04.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 3-2 HT 1-0 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin IRAN
15.02.2024 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin 0-0 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
02.11.2023 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin 2-2 HT 0-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
09.08.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-1 HT 0-0 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin IRAN
POST-MATCH Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shams Azar Qazvin squeezed past Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Esteghlal Khuzestan at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Esteghlal Khuzestan had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Esteghlal Khuzestan and 1.33 for Shams Azar Qazvin.

What was the final score of Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin?

Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-1 Shams Azar Qazvin in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 20/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esteghlal Khuzestan win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal Khuzestan 51%, draw 26%, Shams Azar Qazvin 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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